Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Oviedo
31.9%
Draw
21.6%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Oviedo
vs
0.65
Leganes
Markets
BTTS31.9%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.552.3%
Over 2.525.8%
Over 3.510.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.2%
0-0
17.1%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
0-2
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).