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AHT: 12CSV

01 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.7%
Grimsby
27.0%
Draw
32.3%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Grimsby

vs
1.07

Walsall

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).