Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.5%
Trabzonspor
16.1%
Draw
7.4%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
2.93
Trabzonspor
vs
0.92
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.573.9%
Over 3.553.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.1%
3-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
6.0%
1-0
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
5-0
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).