Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.5%
Bournemouth
15.6%
Draw
6.9%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
Bournemouth
vs
0.65
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
3-0
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
7.1%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-0
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).