Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.3%
Rotherham
30.1%
Draw
44.6%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Rotherham
vs
1.33
Luton
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
12.7%
0-0
11.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).