Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.3%
Newcastle
25.1%
Draw
46.7%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Newcastle
vs
1.49
Brighton
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).