Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Ad. Demirspor
29.4%
Draw
41.9%
Kayserispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Ad. Demirspor
vs
1.66
Kayserispor
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
1-0
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).