Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Alaves
30.7%
Draw
21.9%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Alaves
vs
0.73
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).