Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Oviedo
31.1%
Draw
44.5%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Oviedo
vs
1.19
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).