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DHT: 10CSV

07 Dec 2019 · 15:00

Dundee

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.9%
Arbroath
27.0%
Draw
46.0%
Dundee

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Arbroath

vs
1.73

Dundee

Markets

BTTS61.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.6%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).