Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Barnsley
30.7%
Draw
33.0%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Barnsley
vs
1.11
Reading
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).