Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
AVS
28.6%
Draw
47.7%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
AVS
vs
1.44
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
10.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).