Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Chesterfield
29.0%
Draw
35.6%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Chesterfield
vs
1.05
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
0-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).