Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Sp Gijon
27.9%
Draw
28.0%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Sp Gijon
vs
0.97
Leganes
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).