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26 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.9%
Cardiff
29.8%
Draw
35.3%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Cardiff

vs
1.19

West Brom

Markets

BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).