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27 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.1%
Halifax
23.8%
Draw
29.1%
Aldershot

Expected Goals (xG)

1.90

Halifax

vs
1.47

Aldershot

Markets

BTTS66.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
0-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).