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18 Jan 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.9%
Peterboro
20.0%
Draw
25.1%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

2.00

Peterboro

vs
1.28

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS61.6%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
5.0%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).