Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Zaragoza
27.5%
Draw
25.0%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Zaragoza
vs
0.90
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).