Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Swindon
23.5%
Draw
24.0%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Swindon
vs
0.94
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).