Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.3%
Sp Braga
10.9%
Draw
5.8%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
2.91
Sp Braga
vs
0.65
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
3-0
11.7%
1-0
8.6%
4-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-1
5.5%
1-1
5.2%
5-0
4.9%
5-1
3.2%
0-0
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).