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03 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.4%
Gillingham
27.2%
Draw
36.4%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Gillingham

vs
1.16

Walsall

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).