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14 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.5%
Montrose
26.9%
Draw
48.7%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Montrose

vs
1.57

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).