Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Roma
29.3%
Draw
34.4%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Roma
vs
1.04
Como
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
13.2%
0-1
12.7%
0-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).