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HHT: 10CSV

10 Jul 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.0%
Empoli
25.8%
Draw
49.2%
Frosinone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Empoli

vs
1.74

Frosinone

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).