Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.7%
Wycombe
17.9%
Draw
13.4%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Wycombe
vs
0.76
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
0-1
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).