Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Cardiff
28.8%
Draw
41.6%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Cardiff
vs
1.36
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).