Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
Swansea
30.0%
Draw
43.8%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Swansea
vs
1.33
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
11.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).