Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Doncaster
24.8%
Draw
22.6%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Doncaster
vs
0.90
Accrington
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).