Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Charlton
35.5%
Draw
32.9%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Charlton
vs
0.90
Stoke
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.526.1%
Over 3.510.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.2%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
14.1%
1-0
13.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
0-3
2.0%
3-0
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).