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21 Sept 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.8%
Kalmar
28.7%
Draw
45.5%
Panathinaikos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Kalmar

vs
1.48

Panathinaikos

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).