Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Wolfsburg
20.4%
Draw
30.2%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Wolfsburg
vs
1.87
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS77.4%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.593.1%
Over 2.579.8%
Over 3.561.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
1-1
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.9%
3-2
5.6%
2-3
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
3-3
3.5%
4-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).