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09 Feb 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.8%
WSG Tirol
30.4%
Draw
34.8%
Hartberg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

WSG Tirol

vs
1.15

Hartberg

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).