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23 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.2%
Oxford City
22.9%
Draw
56.9%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Oxford City

vs
2.03

Solihull

Markets

BTTS60.0%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.6%
0-1
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
0-0
5.0%
1-0
4.0%
2-3
3.8%
1-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).