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28 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.1%
Maidstone
24.2%
Draw
58.6%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Maidstone

vs
1.84

Halifax

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).