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28 Jan 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.2%
Sevilla
26.3%
Draw
35.5%
Osasuna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Sevilla

vs
1.35

Osasuna

Markets

BTTS56.5%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
0-1
8.1%
0-0
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).