Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
FC Koln
22.9%
Draw
29.4%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
FC Koln
vs
1.53
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS68.3%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
5.3%
3-2
4.5%
0-1
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
0-0
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).