Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Sutton
17.9%
Draw
51.4%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Sutton
vs
2.70
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS81.8%
Over 0.599.3%
Over 1.595.1%
Over 2.585.8%
Over 3.570.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
6.0%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
4.6%
1-1
4.5%
3-3
4.2%
2-4
4.0%
1-4
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).