Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Sevilla
24.3%
Draw
36.1%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Sevilla
vs
1.51
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
0-2
5.1%
0-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).