Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →91.5%
Aris
5.6%
Draw
2.8%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
3.97
Aris
vs
0.69
Metz
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.594.5%
Over 2.584.3%
Over 3.568.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-0
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-1
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
1-0
3.9%
1-1
2.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).