Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Braintree Town
27.7%
Draw
45.6%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Braintree Town
vs
1.51
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).