Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.0%
Queens Park Rangers
28.3%
Draw
37.6%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.35
Swansea
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).