Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
St Pauli
28.3%
Draw
20.3%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
St Pauli
vs
0.87
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-0
10.6%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).