Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Genk
27.6%
Draw
29.3%
Anderlecht
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Genk
vs
1.15
Anderlecht
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).