Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.4%
Stevenage
26.3%
Draw
40.3%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Stevenage
vs
1.29
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).