Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.0%
Gil Vicente
17.8%
Draw
9.2%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Gil Vicente
vs
0.55
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.5%
1-0
15.5%
3-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
8.0%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
5.4%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).