Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Sturm Graz
27.3%
Draw
24.4%
SK Rapid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Sturm Graz
vs
1.02
SK Rapid
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).