Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.9%
Fakel
25.6%
Draw
65.5%
Dinamo Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
Fakel
vs
1.64
Dinamo Moskva
Markets
BTTS30.7%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.0%
0-2
16.5%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
10.3%
0-3
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
0-4
3.7%
2-1
2.1%
2-2
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).