Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.2%
St Pauli
26.2%
Draw
55.6%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
St Pauli
vs
1.65
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).