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AHT: 00CSV

27 Apr 2024 · 18:00

Rodez

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.0%
Concarneau
21.8%
Draw
50.2%
Rodez

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Concarneau

vs
1.75

Rodez

Markets

BTTS57.7%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).