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23 Jul 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.8%
Norrköping
27.8%
Draw
34.5%
Degerfors

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Norrköping

vs
1.37

Degerfors

Markets

BTTS58.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).